Pre-tourney Rankings
Detroit Mercy
Horizon
2014-15
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.5#190
Expected Predictive Rating-1.7#197
Pace72.7#39
Improvement-2.6#281

Offense
Total Offense-0.8#190
Improvement+0.1#170

Defense
Total Defense-0.8#190
Improvement-2.7#297
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 17, 2014 47   @ Oregon L 66-83 10%     0 - 1 -4.6 +6.2 +6.2
  Nov 20, 2014 64   @ Michigan L 62-71 14%     0 - 2 +1.3 +5.2 +5.2
  Nov 22, 2014 296   South Alabama W 66-53 80%     1 - 2 +2.6 -5.2 -5.2
  Nov 24, 2014 222   Maryland Eastern Shore W 69-55 56%     2 - 2 +10.8 -1.6 -1.6
  Nov 25, 2014 93   Toledo W 82-79 27%     3 - 2 +7.7 +2.4 +2.4
  Nov 30, 2014 101   Bowling Green L 63-64 39%     3 - 3 +0.4 +0.7 +0.7
  Dec 06, 2014 255   South Florida W 67-57 73%     4 - 3 +2.0 -4.0 -4.0
  Dec 13, 2014 19   Wichita St. L 68-77 14%     4 - 4 +1.2 +5.1 +5.1
  Dec 17, 2014 267   @ Central Florida L 70-75 55%     4 - 5 -7.7 -1.4 -1.4
  Dec 20, 2014 59   @ Rhode Island L 55-69 13%     4 - 6 -3.1 +5.4 +5.4
  Dec 23, 2014 65   @ Arizona St. L 54-93 14%     4 - 7 -28.8 +5.1 +5.1
  Dec 30, 2014 215   Oral Roberts L 73-77 OT 65%     4 - 8 -9.4 -2.7 -2.7
  Jan 02, 2015 253   @ Wright St. L 57-70 52%     4 - 9 0 - 1 -15.1 -1.1 -1.1
  Jan 04, 2015 214   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 83-67 65%     5 - 9 1 - 1 +10.6 -2.7 -2.7
  Jan 10, 2015 157   Oakland W 74-54 54%     6 - 9 2 - 1 +17.5 -1.3 -1.3
  Jan 14, 2015 279   @ Illinois-Chicago W 69-68 57%     7 - 9 3 - 1 -2.3 -1.7 -1.7
  Jan 17, 2015 79   Green Bay L 64-70 33%     7 - 10 3 - 2 -3.0 +1.5 +1.5
  Jan 19, 2015 127   @ Northeastern W 81-69 OT 26%     8 - 10 +17.3 +2.6 +2.6
  Jan 23, 2015 114   @ Cleveland St. L 66-70 23%     8 - 11 3 - 3 +2.4 +3.2 +3.2
  Jan 26, 2015 253   Wright St. L 53-64 73%     8 - 12 3 - 4 -18.9 -4.0 -4.0
  Jan 29, 2015 285   Youngstown St. W 93-87 OT 78%     9 - 12 4 - 4 -3.5 -4.8 -4.8
  Jan 31, 2015 214   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 74-78 43%     9 - 13 4 - 5 -3.6 +0.2 +0.2
  Feb 04, 2015 75   @ Valparaiso L 70-78 16%     9 - 14 4 - 6 +1.3 +4.6 +4.6
  Feb 08, 2015 279   Illinois-Chicago L 73-83 77%     9 - 15 4 - 7 -19.1 -4.6 -4.6
  Feb 13, 2015 114   Cleveland St. W 66-65 42%     10 - 15 5 - 7 +1.6 +0.3 +0.3
  Feb 15, 2015 157   @ Oakland L 78-83 32%     10 - 16 5 - 8 -1.7 +1.6 +1.6
  Feb 18, 2015 79   @ Green Bay L 76-96 17%     10 - 17 5 - 9 -11.3 +4.4 +4.4
  Feb 21, 2015 285   @ Youngstown St. W 83-70 59%     11 - 17 6 - 9 +9.2 -1.9 -1.9
  Feb 25, 2015 75   Valparaiso W 63-60 31%     12 - 17 7 - 9 +6.5 +1.8 +1.8
  Mar 03, 2015 285   Youngstown St. W 77-67 78%     13 - 17 +0.5 -4.8 -4.8
  Mar 06, 2015 114   Cleveland St. L 53-70 31%     13 - 18 -13.5 +1.7 +1.7
Projected Record 13.0 - 18.0 7.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9 100.0% 100.0
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%